Betting. Italy vs Spain [06.10.16] : group G – battle for supremacy

[ 04.10.16 ]

2018 FIFA World Cup, qualification

UEFA, Group G

06.10.2016

Bet: Draw

Despite the pessimistic predictions of the sports betting experts Italy has showed a meritorious performance at Euro 2016. Antonio Conte’s side has made it to the round of 8 where they lost to Germany only in the penalty shootout. It should be mentioned that after quite a successful tournament the Azzuri had to say goodbye to their boss, so now they are headed by Giampiero Ventura. Under the direction of this experienced coach Italy got a 3-1 away win in Israel in their 2018 FIFA World Cup qualification opener. Even without the big stars in the squad the betting companies expect Italy to fight for the first place in group G.

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Spain has failed at Euro 2016. Furia Roja suffered an ignominious last 16 defeat (0-2) at the hands of Italians. As a result Vicente del Bosque was replaced by Julen Lopetegui. As the sports betting experts predicted the first competitive match was a nice walk for Lopetegui’s side. The Spaniards demolished Liechtenstein (8-0). However, the real challenge for the new coach is still ahead. He will have to prove his value on Thursday, in Turin. Contrary to betting ratings, it would be a tough away game for Furia Roja.

While choosing a bet one should take into account the fact that without shadow of a doubt this game is a highlight of the match week 2. The Spanish national team is definitely eager to get a revenge for the defeat at Euro 2016. At the same time the Italians represent a balanced and unyielding team who is extremely dangerous at home. Ventura will be hoping that his well-drilled defensive line will cope with the likes of Costa and Morata, but the manager has some selection concerns as Giorgio Chiellin will be out of play. So according to the sports betting forecasts Criscito or Ogbonna will step up. It is also necessary to take a look at head-to-head stats. Italy have gone with a W1 D2 L1 record against Spain in the last 4 matches.

It is a bit weird, but the bookmakers give the advantage to the away team: Italy – 3,00, Draw – 3,00, Spain – 2,60. It may be worth backing the draw in this fixture as both teams are unlikely to run risks. As the Italians are playing at home you may bet either on “Double chance: Italy or Draw” (1,52) or on “Italy (Draw no bet)” (2,07). Moreover, only one of the last five encounters of these sides has seen both teams to score so the bet “Both Teams to Score No” (1,71) seems to get through. In addition, you may consider the option “Total Goals under 2” (1,92).

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