Betting. Italy vs Germany [15.11.16] : both sides score in every individual clash

[ 13.11.16 ]

Betting. Italy vs Germany [15.11.16] : both sides score in every individual clash

Friendly

match

15.11.2016

Bet: Both Teams To Score: Yes

First of all it needs to be said that bookmakers couldn’t name the favorite in this friendly match. Odds on both rivals are quite even: Italy (2.62) and Germany (2.60). At the same time draw (3.10) is considered as unlikely. But for betting it is logically to choose this event not only for high odds. Out of five last games between these teams three matches ended in a draw. Moreover two draws were observed in international friendlies and in 2013 squads drew 1-1 in Italy. That’s why bets on wins are the risky ones.

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Choosing bets we should remember that last week both teams outclassed their opponents in November matches in 2018 World Cup qualification campaign. So Germany humiliated San Marino 8-0 with Serge Gnabry’s hat trick. And Italy smashed Liechtenstein 4-0 putting all four goals into the net in the first half. However in their individual battle high performance shouldn’t be expected. Sports betting experts told that Total Match Goals Over 2.5 (2.10) in recent games between Italy and Germany went through only twice. So the most common event is Total Match Goals Under 2.5 (1.67).

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If you take the bets like “Both Teams To Score: Yes” (1.91) it would be a wise decision. In last five individual games both teams manager to score at least one goal. Moreover, Germany will be without goalkeeper-captain Manuel Neuer, key defender Jérôme Boateng and playmaking midfielder Toni Kroos due to injuries. At the same time head coach Joachim Löw is likely to try some new variants in the middle, for example another testing of Serge Gnabry. And this should be taken into account when betting.

Sports betting experts analyzing Italy current squad paid attention to the absence of defenders Andrea Barzagli, Giorgio Chiellini and Angelo Ogbonna, as well as forward Manolo Gabbiadini. So in defense head coach Giampiero Ventura would have to use reservists alongside with Leonardo Bonucci. This crucially lowers the reliability of Italians home front. In the betting sense that means gamblers should consider such bet as “Total Germany Goals: Two” but it is a risky one. 

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